罗德里格斯岛以东强热带气旋第6号“乔恩古”(13S.Djoungou) - JTWC:125KT 西南印度洋

W ygsj24 2024-02-09 14:28:23 2673

最新回复 (43)
  • ygsj24 W 2024-02-20 04:10:00
    0 引用 41
    WTXS31 PGTW 192100
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (DJOUNGOU) WARNING NR 009//
    RMKS/
    1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (DJOUNGOU) WARNING NR 009    
       02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
        ---
       WARNING POSITION:
       191800Z --- NEAR 29.8S 92.0E
         MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 130 DEGREES AT 41 KTS
         POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
         POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
       PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       SUBTROPICAL
       RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 000 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                000 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
       RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
       REPEAT POSIT: 29.8S 92.0E
        ---
       FORECASTS:
       12 HRS, VALID AT:
       200600Z --- 33.4S 99.5E
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
       RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 120 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
       VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 110 DEG/ 39 KTS
        ---
       24 HRS, VALID AT:
       201800Z --- 35.8S 108.4E
       MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
       WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
       EXTRATROPICAL
       RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 260 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                                060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                                060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                                240 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
        ---
    REMARKS:
    192100Z POSITION NEAR 30.7S 93.9E. 19FEB24. 
    TROPICAL CYCLONE 13S (DJOUNGOU), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
    1271 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED
    SOUTHEASTWARD AT 41 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED
    ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION
    HAS SHEARED 100+ NM SOUTHEASTWARD, FULLY EXPOSING A LARGE, RAGGED,
    AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. IN-HOUSE AND CIMSS ANALYSES
    INDICATE THE CYCLONE HAS BECOME SUBTROPICAL. 
    THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE 
    JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
    THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. 
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE AT 191800Z IS 984 MB. 
    MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 191800Z IS 22 FEET. 
    REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 16S (SIXTEEN) WARNINGS (WTXS32 PGTW) 
    FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.//
    NNNN

  • 潜在蜂蜜 MG 2024-02-20 12:53:35
    0 引用 42

    GEFS集系预计13S(Djoungou)之后将快速进入南半球西风槽,强度暂且不会有明显加强。

    上传的附件:
  • ygsj24 W 2024-02-20 18:00:00
    0 引用 43

    全球热带气旋监测公报

    预报:王 皘  签发:聂高臻  2024 年 02 月 20 日 10

    “乔恩古”变性为温带气旋

    时       间:20日08时(北京时)

    海       域:南印度洋

    命       名:“乔恩古”,DJOUNGOU

    变化过程:过去24小时,“乔恩古”变性为温带气旋

    预报结论:“乔恩古”将以每小时50公里左右的速度向东南方向快速移动,强度逐渐减弱。

    (这是关于“乔恩古”的最后一期监测公报)

  • ygsj24 W 2024-02-20 19:05:00
    0 引用 44

    最后于 2024-02-21 20:00:01 被ygsj24编辑 ,原因:
返回
发新帖