瓦努阿图东南热带扰动11F(92P) - 20.7S 171.1E 南及西南太平洋

W ygsj24 2024-03-09 07:00:00 1201

92P INVEST 240308 1800 15.6S 165.1E SHEM 15 0

最后于 2024-03-13 19:10:00 被ygsj24编辑 ,原因:
最新回复 (3)
  • ygsj24 W 2024-03-09 14:20:00
    0 引用 2
    ABPW10 PGTW 090600
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
    PACIFIC OCEANS/090600Z-100600ZMAR2024//
    RMKS/
    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
       A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
       B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
       C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
       A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
       B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
       C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
          (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 15.9S 
    166.6E, APPROXIMATELY 148 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT VILA, VANUATU. THE 
    SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE, GENERALLY 
    CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL AND MIDLATITUDE CYCLONE 
    FEATURES. THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED UNDER THE LEADING EDGE OF A DEEP 
    UPPER-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL TROUGH WITH 30-40 KNOT NORTHWESTERLIES OVER 
    THE CENTER. THE DEEP MOISTURE PROFILE IS HIGHLY ASYMMETRIC, WITH 
    EXTENSIVE DRY AIR OVER THE WESTERN QUADRANT. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL 
    SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD, ASYMMETRIC SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM WITH 
    MULTIPLE MESOVORTICES EMBEDDED IN THE ELONGATED CENTER. A 090306Z ATMS 
    88.2 GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE REVEALS AN ASYMMETRIC CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE, 
    WITH A LINEAR BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG LOW-
    LEVEL CONVERGENT FLOW ALONG THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERIES OF 
    THE SYSTEM. A 082243Z ASCAT-C IMAGE SHOWS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH 
    WEAK CORE WINDS (5-10 KNOTS), CONVERGENT GALE-FORCE STRENGTH 
    NORTHWESTERLY TO NORTHERLY WINDS NEAR VANUATU, AND SIGNIFICANTLY 
    WEAKER WINDS DISPLACED TO THE SOUTHWEST. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE A 
    SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS WITH NEAR GALE-FORCE WINDS 
    PERSISTING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN SEMICIRCLE. FOR HAZARDS AND WARNINGS, 
    REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH WINDS AND SEAS 
    PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM 
    SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
    LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1002 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE 
    DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS 
    IS LOW.
          (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.//
    NNNN

  • ygsj24 W 2024-03-10 14:00:00
    0 引用 3
    ABPW10 PGTW 100600
    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH 
    PACIFIC OCEANS/100600Z-110600ZMAR2024//
    RMKS/
    1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
       A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
       B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
       C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
    2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
       A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
       B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
       C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
          (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 92P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 
    15.9S 166.6E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT 
    OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
          (2) NO OTHER SUBTROPICAL SYSTEMS.//
    NNNN

  • ygsj24 W 2024-03-13 19:10:00
    0 引用 4

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