ABPW10 PGTW 111930
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/111930Z-120600ZMAR2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.0S
139.0E, APPROXIMATELY 487 NM EAST OF DARWIN. ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY
AND A 1546Z AMSR2 39GHZ SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AREA OF FLARING
CONVECTION, WITH A WEAKLY DEFINED LLCC. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES
93P IS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH LOW (15-20KT)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, WARM SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (30C), COUPLED WITH
ENHANCED EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT
93P WILL STEADILY DEEPEN AS IT DEVELOPS UNDER FAVORABLE CONDITIONS.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE 93P ADVANCING EAST-SOUTHEAST WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS,
BRIEFLY TRACKING OVER LAND, THEN REINTENSIFIES AS IT MAINTAINS AN EAST-
SOUTHEASTWARD TRACK INTO THE CORAL SEA OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 13 TO 17 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS
LOW.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
3. JUSTIFICATION FOR REISSUE: ADDED LOW AREA IN PARA. 2.B.(1).//
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ABPW10 PGTW 140600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH
PACIFIC OCEANS/140600Z-150600ZMAR2024//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
11.4S 141.9E HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
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